Ajaccio II vs Sportive Fréjusienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
31%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
AND
1 - 0
AJA
56%
23%
20%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
AJA
1 - 1
SPO
51%
25%
24%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
GRA
0 - 1
AJA
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
AUB
3 - 3
AJA
58%
22%
21%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
AJA
2 - 0
48%
23%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Sportive Fréjusienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
FRE
0 - 0
AUB
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
3 - 1
FRE
36%
27%
37%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
FRE
3 - 1
VAU
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
AGD
1 - 0
FRE
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
FRE
3 - 2
NIC
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |