Ajaccio II vs Ardziv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.9%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.1%
7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
11º
4º
25
10º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 63 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 45 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 44 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 37 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 30 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 19 |
14º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 97.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
GAZ
1 - 1
AJA
63%
21%
16%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
AJA
3 - 2
BAL
69%
17%
15%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
IST
1 - 0
AJA
39%
24%
36%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
AJA
2 - 1
NIC
33%
26%
41%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 0
AJA
56%
24%
20%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ardziv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 0
EUA
47%
22%
32%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
EUA
1 - 1
MAR
21%
20%
60%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SCR
3 - 0
EUA
77%
14%
9%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
EUA
0 - 2
LUC
19%
21%
61%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
EUA
4 - 1
LUC
16%
19%
65%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +4 |