Ajaccio II vs Caen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
13.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
OIS
1 - 4
AJA
46%
26%
29%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
AJA
2 - 2
DRO
71%
17%
13%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
ASB
1 - 0
AJA
64%
22%
14%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
AJA
0 - 0
PAR
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
SEN
1 - 1
AJA
32%
27%
42%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CAE
2 - 1
STG
45%
25%
30%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
SAI
2 - 0
CAE
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
OIS
4 - 0
CAE
55%
23%
22%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -3 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CAE
4 - 1
DRO
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
ASB
3 - 0
CAE
68%
20%
12%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -2 |