Ajaccio II vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
67.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
AJA
0 - 2
VIL
37%
22%
42%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
BAS
1 - 0
AJA
31%
22%
47%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -3 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
AJA
1 - 1
SRE
46%
21%
33%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
SCR
3 - 3
AJA
58%
20%
23%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
AJA
2 - 0
EFB
83%
11%
6%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
BAS
2 - 1
NLG
82%
13%
5%
|
63 | 28 | 35 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
BAS
6 - 1
CBL
77%
16%
7%
|
63 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
IST
0 - 1
BAS
14%
23%
63%
|
63 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
BAS
2 - 2
CON
54%
24%
23%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
BAS
3 - 1
SAI
81%
14%
5%
|
64 | 28 | 36 | 0 |