Ajaccio II vs Bastia II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
38.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
SAI
2 - 1
AJA
41%
26%
33%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
MON
0 - 0
AJA
76%
16%
8%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
AJA
3 - 0
MAC
80%
13%
7%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
AJA
3 - 3
MAR
49%
25%
27%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
UZE
6 - 0
AJA
70%
19%
11%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Bastia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
BAS
2 - 0
AND
28%
28%
44%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
BAS
2 - 1
THI
63%
22%
15%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
SAI
2 - 2
BAS
36%
26%
38%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
BAS
3 - 1
SUD
63%
22%
16%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
BAS
1 - 1
DIV
62%
21%
17%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |