Ajaccio II vs Cannes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
46.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+81%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
11º
4º
57
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
57 | 63 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 45 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 44 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 37 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 30 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 19 |
14º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 97.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
RSV
4 - 0
AJA
44%
25%
32%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
AJA
1 - 1
CAS
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
AJA
0 - 2
53%
23%
24%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 3
AJA
27%
22%
50%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
AJA
2 - 2
MAR
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cannes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
CAN
5 - 0
56%
24%
21%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 3
CAN
21%
25%
54%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
CAN
3 - 2
MAR
58%
24%
19%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SCR
0 - 2
CAN
25%
27%
49%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CAN
3 - 0
LUC
54%
25%
21%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |