Petite-Île vs Jeanne d'Arc analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
30%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petite-Île
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 0
PET
49%
24%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
PET
0 - 2
EXC
52%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 1
PET
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
PET
0 - 2
PIE
50%
24%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
JEA
3 - 0
PET
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Jeanne d'Arc
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
JEA
1 - 0
SAI
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
JEA
2 - 1
BEN
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
PIE
1 - 2
JEA
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
JEA
2 - 2
MAR
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
JEA
3 - 0
PET
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |