Petite-Île vs Marsouins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
36.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petite-Île
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
SDF
3 - 2
PET
52%
24%
24%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
PET
0 - 1
PIE
42%
26%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
SAI
1 - 0
PET
46%
25%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
TAM
2 - 0
PET
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
PET
0 - 0
JEA
42%
25%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Marsouins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 1
TAM
31%
23%
46%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
LEO
0 - 0
MAR
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +3 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 1
MAR
46%
25%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
CAP
1 - 0
MAR
42%
26%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
ASS
1 - 1
MAR
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |