Airbus UK vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Airbus UK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 4
AIR
16%
22%
62%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
AIR
1 - 2
BAL
48%
24%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
RHY
1 - 2
AIR
27%
26%
47%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2015 |
AIR
1 - 1
ABE
53%
23%
24%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2015 |
CON
0 - 3
AIR
29%
26%
45%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
HOL
0 - 0
ABE
22%
20%
57%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
ABE
3 - 2
NEW
58%
22%
20%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
ABE
3 - 1
PRE
77%
14%
9%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2015 |
AIR
1 - 1
ABE
53%
23%
24%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2015 |
ABE
5 - 3
CAR
55%
23%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |