Air Bel U19 vs Gazélec Ajaccio U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
35.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
2º
11º
11º
38
1º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
90.5% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
90.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
92.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
92.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Air Bel U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
ETI
5 - 1
ABE
62%
19%
19%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
ABE
3 - 0
ROD
42%
23%
36%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
NIC
1 - 1
ABE
66%
17%
16%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
ABE
1 - 1
OLY
23%
22%
55%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
TOU
3 - 1
ABE
64%
18%
17%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
AJA
3 - 0
MGG
65%
18%
17%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
MON
7 - 0
AJA
57%
21%
23%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
ETI
1 - 0
AJA
59%
20%
20%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2025 |
NIC
2 - 0
AJA
57%
21%
22%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
AJA
3 - 0
ROD
49%
21%
29%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +2 |