ACDC vs Marines Eureka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
16.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
11º
9º
30
2º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 29 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACDC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CCS
1 - 0
ACD
65%
18%
17%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
RAY
3 - 2
ACD
62%
20%
19%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ACD
2 - 0
KFC
59%
20%
21%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
ACD
0 - 0
PRA
70%
17%
13%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BUF
2 - 1
ACD
73%
16%
11%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Marines Eureka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MEF
3 - 1
RAY
20%
21%
59%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SIA
0 - 0
MEF
79%
13%
8%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MEF
1 - 2
CHA
44%
23%
33%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ARM
0 - 1
MEF
91%
7%
2%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
MEF
1 - 1
KFC
45%
23%
32%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |