Aiolikos vs Iraklis Thessaloniki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
47.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
4º
11º
11º
29
4º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 36 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 36 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 35 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 34 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
|
7º
|
29 | 33 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 33 |
8º
|
32.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 27 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 26 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 21 |
12º
|
35% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 12 |
13º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 20% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
52% | 80% |
|
Relegation
|
48% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aiolikos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
AEK
2 - 1
MYT
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MYT
4 - 2
KAM
50%
25%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
APO
0 - 1
MYT
45%
27%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
MYT
0 - 2
NIK
26%
29%
45%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
LEV
2 - 0
MYT
83%
13%
4%
|
46 | 73 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Iraklis Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
IRA
1 - 1
MAK
53%
24%
22%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
IRA
1 - 0
AEK
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
KAM
1 - 3
IRA
26%
25%
49%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
IRA
0 - 1
APO
73%
18%
9%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
NIK
3 - 1
IRA
39%
28%
32%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |