Ain Sud vs Saint-Étienne II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
26.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
9º
8º
47
3º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
51 | 54 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
57% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
92% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
92% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ain Sud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MON
1 - 4
AIN
16%
21%
63%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
AIN
3 - 1
LDU
76%
15%
9%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
HAL
0 - 1
AIN
44%
22%
34%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
AIN
1 - 2
THO
40%
26%
34%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
CLE
1 - 4
AIN
18%
22%
60%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SAE
0 - 1
BOU
54%
22%
23%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
LIM
1 - 2
SAE
38%
24%
38%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
SAE
1 - 2
AIX
54%
21%
25%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
VEL
3 - 3
SAE
17%
19%
64%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SAE
5 - 0
MOU
79%
14%
7%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | +1 |