Ain Sud vs Montluçon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.1%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
6.2%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
9º
8º
10
13º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
51 | 54 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
57% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
92% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
92% | |
|
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ain Sud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
LDU
1 - 2
AIN
15%
19%
66%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
AIN
1 - 1
VAU
67%
19%
14%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 2
AIN
48%
23%
29%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
AIN
1 - 0
RVA
28%
26%
45%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
DOM
2 - 2
AIN
20%
20%
60%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Montluçon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
MON
0 - 1
BOU
13%
21%
66%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
AIX
3 - 2
MON
74%
15%
10%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
MON
0 - 1
SAE
15%
20%
66%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
FEU
34%
25%
40%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
LDU
2 - 0
MON
57%
22%
21%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |