Ain Sud vs Lyon-Duchère analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.2%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
78.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.1%
0-2
16.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.4%
0-3
12.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
16.2%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.7%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
11º
14º
13º
47
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ain Sud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
ESM
5 - 0
AIN
22%
21%
57%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
OLY
2 - 2
AIN
70%
17%
13%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
AIN
3 - 0
LIM
25%
24%
51%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +3 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
AIN
2 - 4
FEU
47%
24%
29%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CDE
1 - 1
AIN
14%
18%
69%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Lyon-Duchère
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
LYO
1 - 2
LPV
38%
26%
36%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
LYO
4 - 0
HAL
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
LYO
2 - 1
THO
45%
24%
32%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
LIM
0 - 4
LYO
11%
19%
71%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
LYO
0 - 0
ESM
78%
15%
7%
|
52 | 17 | 35 | 0 |