Ain Sud vs Limonest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
51%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
11º
14º
13º
37
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ain Sud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
AIN
2 - 4
FEU
47%
24%
29%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CDE
1 - 1
AIN
14%
18%
69%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
AIN
0 - 0
SAE
25%
23%
52%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SAI
3 - 0
AIN
75%
15%
10%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
AIN
1 - 1
VAU
45%
25%
30%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Limonest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
LIM
0 - 4
LYO
11%
19%
71%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
OLY
1 - 0
LIM
50%
22%
28%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
LIM
0 - 0
DOM
57%
21%
22%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
LIM
1 - 0
HAL
55%
22%
24%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
LIM
1 - 1
ESM
79%
14%
8%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |