Ain Sud Foot vs FC Gueugnon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
59.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2006 |
FCL
2 - 1
FCG
43%
28%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2006 |
FCG
0 - 1
CAE
19%
25%
56%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2006 |
IST
0 - 1
FCG
42%
28%
31%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2006 |
FCG
0 - 0
REI
36%
31%
33%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2006 |
FCG
0 - 1
STR
24%
28%
47%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |