Q. Europa League 1st Qualifying Round Final
Global 6-2
AIK Solna vs VPS Vaasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
10.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AIK Solna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
KAL
0 - 0
AIK
28%
25%
47%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2015 |
VAA
2 - 2
AIK
22%
23%
55%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2015 |
FCN
1 - 1
AIK
30%
25%
45%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
HÄC
0 - 0
AIK
43%
25%
33%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2015 |
AIK
4 - 3
FAL
62%
22%
15%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
VPS Vaasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
VAA
0 - 0
INT
32%
27%
41%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2015 |
VAA
2 - 2
AIK
22%
23%
55%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2015 |
VAA
0 - 2
HIF
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2015 |
SEI
3 - 2
VAA
63%
23%
14%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2015 |
VAA
2 - 0
FCL
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |