Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Global 2-3
AIK Solna vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
23.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AIK Solna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
AIK
2 - 0
ZEL
55%
26%
19%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
AIK
1 - 0
NOR
38%
27%
35%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
ZEL
0 - 0
AIK
35%
27%
38%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
KAL
0 - 1
AIK
22%
26%
52%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
AIK
5 - 0
KLA
57%
24%
19%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
SPB
0 - 2
ANG
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2017 |
SPB
2 - 0
NAC
69%
19%
13%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 2
SPB
44%
27%
29%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
SPB
3 - 0
AVE
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
VAR
1 - 0
SPB
14%
23%
63%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |