UCL Qualifying First Round Final
Global 4-3
AIK Solna vs Ararat-Armenia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AIK Solna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
AIK
3 - 0
ELF
53%
25%
22%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2019 |
AVA
2 - 1
AIK
37%
25%
39%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
KAL
0 - 1
AIK
17%
26%
57%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
AIK
0 - 0
MFF
35%
27%
38%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2019 |
AIK
0 - 2
NOR
42%
26%
31%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ararat-Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2019 |
AVA
2 - 1
AIK
37%
25%
39%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2019 |
GOM
0 - 3
AVA
25%
23%
52%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2019 |
BAN
0 - 1
AVA
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2019 |
AVA
2 - 0
NOA
68%
20%
13%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
SHI
0 - 1
AVA
32%
31%
37%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |