Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Global 1-4
AIK Solna vs Astana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
20.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AIK Solna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2014 |
GÖT
0 - 2
AIK
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
AST
1 - 1
AIK
41%
25%
34%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2014 |
AIK
3 - 0
FAL
62%
23%
14%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2014 |
AIK
2 - 0
LIN
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
FAL
4 - 1
AIK
22%
24%
54%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
ZHE
0 - 0
AST
23%
28%
49%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
AST
1 - 1
AIK
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
AST
3 - 0
ATY
71%
19%
10%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2014 |
HAP
1 - 0
AST
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
AST
3 - 0
HAP
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |