Aigle Noir vs Capoise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.4%
32.1%
Draw
0-0
15.4%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
32.1%
32.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aigle Noir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
TEM
2 - 0
AIG
57%
25%
18%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2011 |
TEM
3 - 1
AIG
56%
25%
19%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2011 |
AIG
0 - 1
TEM
40%
31%
30%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ASS
1 - 0
AIG
40%
31%
29%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
AIG
0 - 0
VAL
43%
29%
28%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Capoise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
CAP
0 - 0
VIC
45%
30%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
TEM
0 - 0
CAP
51%
27%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2011 |
BAL
1 - 1
CAP
39%
32%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 2011 |
CAP
0 - 0
BAL
44%
30%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
CAP
3 - 0
CAV
49%
30%
21%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |