Aigle Noir vs Capoise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
16%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.8%
30.5%
Draw
0-0
13.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.5%
26.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aigle Noir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2009 |
RAC
3 - 2
AIG
54%
26%
20%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
AIG
1 - 0
TEM
40%
29%
31%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
ASP
1 - 1
AIG
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2009 |
AIG
0 - 1
CAV
50%
28%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
AIG
0 - 2
ASC
45%
29%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Capoise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2009 |
CAP
4 - 1
BAL
48%
28%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
ASC
0 - 0
CAP
51%
28%
20%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
CAP
0 - 0
ASM
48%
28%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
TEM
2 - 0
CAP
48%
29%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2009 |
CAP
0 - 0
CAV
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |