Copa del Presidente Burundi Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Aigle Noir vs Vital'O analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+70%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aigle Noir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
ANM
3 - 1
MFC
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
ANM
1 - 0
BUJ
70%
19%
12%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
STA
2 - 3
ANM
40%
27%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
ANM
0 - 0
DYN
65%
21%
15%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
BUJ
1 - 4
ANM
37%
25%
38%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vital'O
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
VIT
1 - 0
DYN
58%
24%
18%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
VIT
3 - 2
TJU
61%
20%
19%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
BUJ
0 - 0
VIT
35%
24%
41%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
VIT
1 - 2
RUK
60%
24%
17%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
TJU
0 - 3
VIT
22%
22%
56%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | -1 |