Aigle Noir vs Rukinzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
22.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aigle Noir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
ATH
2 - 1
ANM
42%
24%
34%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
KAY
0 - 5
ANM
48%
23%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
ANM
1 - 1
VIT
57%
22%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
VIT
0 - 0
ANM
29%
26%
45%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -14 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
ANM
1 - 1
KAY
72%
17%
11%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Rukinzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
RUK
3 - 1
MUZ
73%
16%
12%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
LEL
0 - 4
RUK
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
ATH
1 - 2
RUK
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
RUK
3 - 1
ATH
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -11 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
RUK
1 - 1
LEL
69%
18%
13%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |