Aigle Noir vs Ngozi City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
30.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aigle Noir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ANM
7 - 0
MSU
63%
19%
18%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
VIT
1 - 1
ANM
43%
26%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ANM
2 - 0
DAB
79%
13%
8%
|
41 | 17 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FLA
1 - 0
ANM
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ANM
2 - 0
ROY
83%
12%
6%
|
40 | 10 | 30 | +1 |
Matches
Ngozi City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
NCF
0 - 0
VIT
43%
27%
30%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
DAB
1 - 3
NCF
13%
17%
70%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
NCF
2 - 1
FLA
37%
25%
38%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
ROY
1 - 1
NCF
10%
15%
76%
|
39 | 10 | 29 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
NCF
1 - 1
RUK
39%
28%
34%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |