Aigle Noir vs Le Messager Ngozi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
26.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aigle Noir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
MFC
0 - 2
ANM
38%
27%
34%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
ANM
6 - 1
DYN
70%
18%
12%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2024 |
NGO
0 - 0
ANM
36%
27%
37%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
ANM
1 - 0
STA
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
BUM
1 - 1
ANM
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Le Messager Ngozi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
NGO
1 - 1
NCF
34%
27%
39%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
KAY
1 - 1
NGO
29%
25%
47%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2024 |
NGO
0 - 0
ANM
36%
27%
37%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
RUK
1 - 2
NGO
53%
24%
23%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
NGO
1 - 0
KAY
52%
24%
24%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |