Aigle Noir vs Le Messager Ngozi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aigle Noir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
ANM
2 - 2
NCF
87%
10%
3%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
ANM
1 - 1
INT
76%
16%
8%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ANM
1 - 1
MFC
58%
22%
20%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
STA
2 - 3
ANM
25%
26%
49%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
LLB
1 - 2
ANM
22%
26%
53%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Le Messager Ngozi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
NGO
1 - 1
BUM
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
LLF
0 - 2
NGO
22%
27%
52%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
BUJ
1 - 2
NGO
33%
28%
39%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
NGO
1 - 1
ATH
67%
21%
13%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
NGO
1 - 1
KAY
68%
20%
12%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |