Aigle Noir vs Le Messager Ngozi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
25.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aigle Noir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2017 |
STA
1 - 2
ANM
26%
29%
45%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ATH
2 - 1
ANM
45%
27%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +12 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
ANM
0 - 0
BUJ
48%
26%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
NCF
0 - 0
ANM
48%
26%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ANM
0 - 0
MUZ
49%
26%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Le Messager Ngozi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
MFC
2 - 2
NGO
53%
25%
23%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
NGO
2 - 1
BUJ
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
NGO
2 - 2
ZES
40%
28%
33%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +12 |
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
ZES
2 - 0
NGO
58%
23%
19%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
NGO
1 - 1
NYA
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |