Aigle Noir vs Le Messager Ngozi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aigle Noir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2016 |
ANM
2 - 2
VIT
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
NYA
0 - 3
ANM
46%
26%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
ANM
2 - 0
ATH
57%
24%
20%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
ANM
1 - 0
LLB
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -13 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
ROY
0 - 0
ANM
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +13 |
Matches
Le Messager Ngozi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
NGO
0 - 1
VIT
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
NGO
1 - 1
FLA
49%
26%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
NYA
2 - 1
NGO
25%
27%
48%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -18 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
NGO
3 - 1
LLB
49%
28%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
NGO
0 - 0
LCR
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +16 |