Aigle Noir vs Le Messager de Bujumbura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.2%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
7.3%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aigle Noir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
KAY
0 - 3
ANM
30%
26%
44%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
RUK
1 - 3
ANM
27%
26%
47%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
ANM
2 - 0
LLB
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
STA
0 - 1
ANM
40%
27%
33%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +16 |
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
ANM
2 - 0
NGO
55%
24%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Le Messager de Bujumbura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
BUJ
0 - 1
ATH
40%
26%
34%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
LLB
2 - 2
BUJ
76%
16%
8%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
BUJ
1 - 1
VIT
19%
25%
56%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
BUJ
0 - 0
BUJ
50%
26%
25%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2018 |
BUJ
0 - 2
BUM
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |