Aigle Noir vs Le Messager de Bujumbura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
24.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aigle Noir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
INT
0 - 2
ANM
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
ANM
1 - 1
LEL
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ANM
1 - 0
MUZ
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2016 |
BUJ
1 - 1
ANM
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
ANM
0 - 0
STA
54%
24%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Le Messager de Bujumbura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
BUJ
2 - 2
NYA
47%
25%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
BUJ
2 - 0
LCR
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ATH
5 - 0
BUJ
44%
27%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2016 |
LEL
0 - 1
BUJ
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
BUJ
0 - 2
MUZ
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |