Ahva Reineh vs Tzeirei Umm Al-Fahm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
69%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
10%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
11º
16º
16º
72
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
67% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
55.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
88.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 36 |
9º
|
66.5% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 33 |
11º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 32 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 32 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 31 |
14º
|
25.5% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 25 |
15º
|
90% | |
|
|
16º
|
9 | 17 |
16º
|
90% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
1% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
98% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ahva Reineh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
IBK
4 - 0
ARE
83%
11%
6%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
ARE
2 - 0
MSP
17%
19%
64%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
HBA
3 - 1
ARE
69%
17%
14%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
ARE
0 - 3
IBB
45%
22%
33%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MNS
1 - 0
ARE
73%
16%
12%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Tzeirei Umm Al-Fahm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
TUA
2 - 2
HBA
66%
19%
16%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
TUA
0 - 0
IBB
78%
14%
8%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
MNS
0 - 2
TUA
26%
22%
53%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
TUA
3 - 0
HBF
56%
21%
24%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
HTH
0 - 4
TUA
50%
22%
28%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |