Ahva Reineh vs Ihud Bnei Baka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
32.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
11º
16º
16º
31
4º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
67% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
55.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
88.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 36 |
9º
|
66.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 33 |
11º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 32 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 32 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 31 |
14º
|
25.5% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 25 |
15º
|
90% | |
|
|
16º
|
9 | 17 |
16º
|
90% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
1% | 86% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 14% |
|
Relegation
|
98% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ahva Reineh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MNS
1 - 0
ARE
73%
16%
12%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
ARE
2 - 2
HBF
17%
19%
64%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
HTH
3 - 0
ARE
79%
14%
8%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
ARE
0 - 3
HBM
14%
18%
68%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
MAI
4 - 0
ARE
77%
14%
10%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ihud Bnei Baka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
IBB
0 - 2
HBA
35%
22%
43%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
IBB
0 - 3
MSP
36%
22%
42%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MNS
2 - 0
IBB
65%
18%
17%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
IBB
1 - 2
HBF
30%
22%
48%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
HTH
2 - 1
IBB
73%
16%
11%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |