Ahva Reineh vs Beitar Haifa Jacob analysis


22	ELO	28
-3.8%	Tilt	0.2%
47651º	General ELO ranking	37638º
257º	Country ELO ranking	167º
ELO win probability

36.6%

Ahva Reineh

22.7%

Draw

40.7%

Beitar Haifa Jacob

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

36.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%

22.7%

Draw

0-0

3.4%

1-1

9.7%

2-2

6.9%

3-3

2.2%

4-4

0.4%

5-5

<0%

0

22.7%

40.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

16º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

9

11º

16º

29

9º

14º

12º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

13º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	72	72	1º	100%
2º	67	67	2º	100%
3º	63	66	3º	100%
4º	53	56	4º	100%
5º	51	51	5º	100%
6º	40	43	6º	67%
7º	40	43	7º	55.5%
8º	37	40	8º	88.5%
9º	33	36	9º	66.5%
10º	31	34	10º	43%
11º	30	33	11º	47.5%
13º	29	32	12º	32%
14º	29	32	13º	28.5%
12º	30	31	14º	25.5%
15º	24	25	15º	90%
16º	9	17	16º	90%

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Expected probabilities

Promotion	0%	0%
Promotion play-offs	0%	0%
Mid-table	1%	51.5%
Relegation play-offs	1%	48%
Relegation	98%	0.5%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ahva Reineh

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
03 Oct. 2022	TUA 3 - 1 ARE 60% 20% 20%	24	29	5	0
30 Sep. 2022	ARE 1 - 1 MAF 27% 21% 51%	24	31	7	0
23 Sep. 2022	ARE 0 - 2 MTH 22% 20% 58%	25	35	10	-1
09 Sep. 2022	ARE 0 - 0 IBK 20% 19% 61%	25	36	11	0
30 Aug. 2022	MSP 2 - 1 ARE 54% 21% 25%	25	33	8	0

Matches

Beitar Haifa Jacob

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
03 Oct. 2022	BHJ 0 - 0 MNS 24% 21% 55%	27	38	11	0
30 Sep. 2022	BHJ 3 - 3 HBA 57% 20% 23%	27	25	2	0
23 Sep. 2022	IBB 1 - 1 BHJ 53% 21% 27%	27	27	0	0
09 Sep. 2022	HBF 3 - 1 BHJ 69% 17% 15%	28	35	7	-1
30 Aug. 2022	BHJ 1 - 4 MAF 37% 22% 42%	30	32	2	-2