Ahlerstedt vs Drochtersen/Assel II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
30.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
-59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ahlerstedt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
TZE
0 - 0
AHO
17%
19%
64%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
TJS
5 - 6
AHO
62%
19%
19%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
AHO
1 - 2
CUX
53%
21%
25%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
TSE
3 - 1
AHO
52%
22%
27%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
AHO
1 - 3
ROT
39%
22%
38%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Drochtersen/Assel II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
THA
2 - 0
SVD
46%
22%
32%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
BWB
4 - 1
SVD
65%
18%
17%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
SVD
2 - 1
SEL
46%
22%
32%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MEC
2 - 1
SVD
72%
16%
12%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SVD
3 - 0
MTV
88%
8%
4%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | -1 |