Ahlerstedt vs MTV Dannenberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.7%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.2%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.4%
5.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ahlerstedt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
BWB
4 - 2
AHO
74%
15%
11%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
AHO
2 - 2
SVD
47%
22%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
TZE
0 - 0
AHO
17%
19%
64%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
TJS
5 - 6
AHO
62%
19%
19%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
AHO
1 - 2
CUX
53%
21%
25%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
MTV Dannenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MTV
0 - 2
THA
11%
17%
72%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MTV
2 - 2
SEL
10%
16%
75%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MTV
0 - 4
MEC
10%
17%
73%
|
10 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
MTV
0 - 0
OTT
8%
15%
76%
|
9 | 26 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MTV
0 - 5
MTL
9%
15%
76%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | -1 |