Ahlerstedt vs FC Verden 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
20%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-77%
+61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ahlerstedt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
VWE
1 - 1
AHO
11%
16%
73%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
AHO
6 - 0
TGE
86%
10%
5%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
TSE
0 - 1
AHO
21%
21%
58%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
AHO
3 - 0
TUE
78%
13%
9%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
MTL
1 - 4
AHO
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
FC Verden 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
VER
0 - 0
MTL
39%
23%
38%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
LAN
2 - 4
VER
12%
16%
72%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
TUE
1 - 5
VER
22%
22%
56%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
VER
4 - 1
VWE
79%
13%
8%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
VER
4 - 1
TGE
82%
12%
7%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |