Ahlafors vs Vänersborgs FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
17.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
2º
9º
6º
15
9º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 53 |
1º
|
45% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 49 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 47 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 47 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 44 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
|
7º
|
19 | 40 |
6º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 36 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 35 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 34 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 30 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
|
11º
|
15 | 29 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
46% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 17 |
13º
|
49.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 16 |
14º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 81% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 15.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ahlafors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
SFC
1 - 0
AIF
7%
12%
82%
|
43 | 10 | 33 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2025 |
AIF
2 - 1
GRE
56%
23%
22%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
AIF
2 - 2
KON
35%
24%
41%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
TFC
1 - 1
AIF
9%
13%
78%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
MOT
1 - 1
AIF
60%
20%
21%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vänersborgs FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2025 |
VFK
0 - 1
IFH
65%
17%
18%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2025 |
VAN
1 - 2
VFK
60%
20%
20%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
VFK
2 - 1
KUM
34%
23%
43%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
HER
3 - 0
VFK
63%
19%
18%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
VFK
1 - 0
IKT
34%
22%
44%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |