Ahlafors vs Vänersborgs FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
2º
11º
4º
33
1º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ahlafors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MOT
5 - 0
AIF
49%
22%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
AIF
1 - 1
STE
63%
21%
17%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SKO
2 - 1
AIF
50%
23%
28%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
LID
3 - 2
AIF
23%
24%
54%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -2 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
AIF
4 - 3
GRE
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Vänersborgs FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VFK
0 - 3
BKF
61%
19%
20%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
VAN
1 - 1
VFK
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
VFK
3 - 1
SKS
63%
19%
19%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
VFK
2 - 0
GAU
69%
17%
14%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
KON
3 - 0
VFK
68%
18%
14%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | -1 |