Ahlafors vs Vänersborgs IF analysis

Ahlafors Vänersborgs IF
45 ELO 39
-3.9% Tilt 10.8%
6465º General ELO ranking 7397º
90º Country ELO ranking 114º
ELO win probability
56.3%
Ahlafors
22.3%
Draw
21.3%
Vänersborgs IF

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
Ahlafors
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
21.3%
Win probability
Vänersborgs IF
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ahlafors
+3%
-11%
Vänersborgs IF

Points and table prediction

Ahlafors
Their league position
Vänersborgs IF
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
11º
27
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
IFK Skövde
61
61
100%
Kongahälla
47
47
100%
Herrestads AIF
45
45
100%
Ahlafors
39
42
100%
Lidköping
39
39
100%
Grebbestad
38
38
100%
Kumla
38
38
100%
Motala
37
37
100%
Vänersborgs FK
33
33
100%
BK Forward
10º
28
28
10º
100%
Vänersborgs IF
11º
27
27
11º
100%
Stenungsund
12º
24
24
12º
0%
Gauthiod
13º
24
24
13º
0%
Saffle SK
14º
17
17
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Ahlafors
Vänersborgs IF
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Ahlafors
Vänersborgs IF
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ahlafors
Ahlafors
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Oct. 2024
BKF
BK Forward
1 - 1
Ahlafors
AIF
26%
23%
51%
45 37 8 0
28 Sep. 2024
GAU
Gauthiod
4 - 4
Ahlafors
AIF
15%
18%
67%
45 28 17 0
22 Sep. 2024
AIF
Ahlafors
2 - 0
Kongahälla
KON
27%
23%
50%
44 52 8 +1
13 Sep. 2024
AIF
Ahlafors
2 - 1
Herrestads AIF
HER
42%
24%
34%
43 45 2 +1
08 Sep. 2024
KUM
Kumla
1 - 1
Ahlafors
AIF
30%
24%
46%
43 38 5 0

Matches

Vänersborgs IF
Vänersborgs IF
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Oct. 2024
VAN
Vänersborgs IF
2 - 0
Grebbestad
GRE
38%
23%
39%
38 39 1 0
29 Sep. 2024
SKS
Saffle SK
2 - 2
Vänersborgs IF
VAN
28%
22%
50%
38 30 8 0
21 Sep. 2024
VAN
Vänersborgs IF
1 - 1
Lidköping
LID
40%
23%
37%
38 40 2 0
14 Sep. 2024
VAN
Vänersborgs IF
3 - 5
Kongahälla
KON
22%
22%
56%
39 52 13 -1
08 Sep. 2024
GAU
Gauthiod
2 - 3
Vänersborgs IF
VAN
35%
23%
42%
39 32 7 0