Ahlafors vs Skene analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
8.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ahlafors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2007 |
GUN
5 - 4
AIF
69%
18%
13%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2007 |
AIF
1 - 0
IKO
42%
25%
33%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2007 |
IKO
3 - 1
AIF
64%
20%
16%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
AIF
5 - 0
GUN
22%
24%
54%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | +5 |
| 11 Jun. 2007 |
SKE
0 - 0
AIF
25%
24%
50%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Skene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2007 |
SKE
0 - 1
SAN
67%
19%
14%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2007 |
SKE
2 - 1
GUN
14%
21%
65%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | +2 |
| 20 Jun. 2007 |
GUN
2 - 1
SKE
85%
11%
4%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 0
SKE
37%
25%
38%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2007 |
SKE
0 - 0
AIF
25%
24%
50%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |