Ahlafors vs Lunds analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
62.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
6º
16º
16º
55
2º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ahlafors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
TVA
3 - 0
AIF
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
VAN
1 - 2
AIF
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
AIF
1 - 0
AFC
29%
25%
46%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +3 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ANG
1 - 1
AIF
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
TOR
2 - 1
AIF
60%
21%
19%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Lunds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
LBK
1 - 1
ATV
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 2
LBK
40%
25%
35%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
LBK
1 - 2
ANG
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
LJU
0 - 3
LBK
26%
25%
49%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
LBK
3 - 0
AFC
61%
22%
18%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |