Ahlafors vs Kumla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ahlafors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
LID
1 - 0
AIF
33%
24%
42%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
AIF
3 - 2
STE
80%
13%
8%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
AUS
1 - 5
AIF
18%
18%
64%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
AIF
2 - 1
SKS
71%
16%
13%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
AIF
4 - 0
58%
20%
22%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Kumla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
KUM
2 - 2
SKS
40%
23%
37%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
KUM
3 - 1
LID
14%
19%
68%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +4 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
3 - 0
KUM
72%
16%
12%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
KUM
2 - 5
AUS
48%
22%
31%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
KUM
1 - 2
GRE
45%
23%
31%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |