Ahlafors vs Herrestads AIF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
34.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
2º
11º
4º
45
3º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ahlafors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
KUM
1 - 1
AIF
30%
24%
46%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
AIF
1 - 0
VFK
57%
22%
21%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MOT
5 - 0
AIF
49%
22%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -2 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
AIF
1 - 1
STE
63%
21%
17%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SKO
2 - 1
AIF
50%
23%
28%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Herrestads AIF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
HER
1 - 1
BKF
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VAN
2 - 4
HER
35%
25%
39%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
HER
5 - 0
SKS
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
HER
0 - 2
HEL
8%
16%
76%
|
44 | 70 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
KON
0 - 0
HER
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |