Ahal FT vs Merw analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.5%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
9.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ahal FT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
KAS
1 - 4
AHA
22%
23%
56%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
AHA
3 - 0
AGA
75%
15%
10%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
KHO
1 - 0
AHA
65%
21%
15%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 3
AHA
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
AHA
4 - 0
KAS
71%
17%
12%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
ALT
5 - 0
MER
76%
15%
10%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MER
2 - 1
BFT
30%
24%
47%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
ALT
5 - 2
MER
78%
14%
8%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
MER
0 - 2
ARK
23%
23%
55%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
AGA
3 - 0
MER
46%
26%
29%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |