Ahal FT vs Merw analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ahal FT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
BFT
0 - 3
AHA
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2018 |
AGA
0 - 2
AHA
43%
27%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
AHA
2 - 1
EFT
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2018 |
AGA
0 - 0
AHA
41%
27%
33%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2018 |
MER
2 - 3
AHA
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
ALT
1 - 1
MER
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
MER
2 - 0
KAS
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2018 |
MER
2 - 3
AHA
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
MER
0 - 1
EFT
47%
26%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
AGA
1 - 0
MER
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |