Ahal FT vs Merw analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
25.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-71%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ahal FT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
BAG
1 - 0
AHA
47%
26%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
AHA
0 - 4
ALT
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
BAG
3 - 0
AHA
47%
26%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2010 |
AHA
0 - 1
MER
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2010 |
AHA
1 - 2
AGA
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
MER
0 - 0
AGA
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2010 |
MER
5 - 2
AGA
50%
24%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
TAL
0 - 3
MER
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2010 |
AHA
0 - 1
MER
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2010 |
MER
6 - 0
ALT
51%
25%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |