Ahal FT vs Şagadam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ahal FT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
MER
0 - 1
AHA
17%
21%
62%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
AHA
3 - 1
KAS
78%
14%
8%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
AHA
1 - 2
ARK
43%
23%
34%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2024 |
AHA
2 - 0
ALT
47%
24%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
AGA
1 - 2
AHA
16%
20%
64%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Şagadam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
AGA
0 - 1
ALT
21%
22%
56%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
AGA
0 - 0
AGA
32%
25%
43%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
AGA
3 - 5
ARK
26%
23%
51%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
AGA
1 - 0
MER
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BFT
2 - 1
AGA
39%
25%
36%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |