Ahal FT vs Aşgabat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
13.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ahal FT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2025 |
KAS
0 - 3
AHA
13%
19%
67%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
ARK
3 - 1
AHA
55%
21%
24%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
BFT
0 - 1
AHA
26%
24%
51%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
AGA
1 - 4
AHA
27%
24%
49%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
AHA
3 - 0
MER
73%
17%
11%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Aşgabat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2025 |
MER
2 - 0
AGA
28%
25%
47%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
AGA
1 - 0
AGA
44%
25%
32%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
AGA
3 - 1
ALT
25%
24%
51%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
AGA
1 - 4
AHA
27%
24%
49%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2025 |
AGA
2 - 1
BFT
32%
24%
44%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |